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Home » Gap stock surges on fourth quarter estimates, retailer signals it could beat Trump tariffs
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Gap stock surges on fourth quarter estimates, retailer signals it could beat Trump tariffs

Jane AustenBy Jane Austenmarzo 7, 2025No hay comentarios4 Mins Read
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Gap (GAP) may be the lone retailer this spring to stand up to the dual headwinds of a tariff-wielding president and a prickly Mother Nature.

The company on Thursday bucked the trend of ugly retailer earnings this week, beating profit estimates and signaling a respectable year ahead. Gap’s full-year outlook was generally in line with consensus forecasts, despite tariff impacts in the key sourcing region of China.

«We’re all dealing with tariffs. We’re monitoring the developments of tariffs on an hourly basis. We source less than 10% of our product from China and less than 1% of our product comes from Canada and Mexico combined. So our guidance contemplates what we know today regarding the tariff policy,» Gap CEO Richard Dickson told Yahoo Finance.

«Huge [earnings print],» one source that covers the clothing retailer told me by email.

Gap stock popped 17% in premarket trading on Friday.

NYSE – Delayed Quote • USD

At close: March 6 at 4:00:02 PM EST

The company appears to be benefiting from a sticky turnaround at the Gap division, led by improved marketing campaigns. Styles have also improved under noted designer Zac Posen, who was appointed executive vice president and creative director of Gap and chief creative officer of Old Navy in February 2024.

Old Navy looks to be getting its house in order as it follows a similar playbook to Gap.

Listen: Why Walmart is clobbering rivals

The aforementioned efforts to diversify production out of China in recent years are also helping the brand spin a better narrative relative to others in retail.

«Core Gap seems to be breaking away into a higher trajectory on better product/marketing, we think that Old Navy will repeat its history of significant acceleration as weather turns, and we believe Athleta will also accelerate as transitory income statement headwinds roll off and brand CEO Chris Blakeslee (formerly at Alo) shows the brand turnaround he’s been building to for 18 months,» said Evercore analyst Michael Binetti.

«Within a few months, Gap could be one of the more encouraging same-store sales acceleration stories in softline retail with multiple brands in the portfolio contributing to positive EPS revisions.»

Net sales: -3% year over year to $4.1 billion, vs. $4.07 billion estimate

Comparable sales:

Old Navy: +3% compared to +2% last year, vs. +1.74% estimate

Banana Republic: +4% compared to -4% last year, vs. -1.24% estimate

Gap: +7% compared to +4% last year, vs. +1.67% estimate

Athleta: -2% compared to -10% last year, vs. +4.6% estimate

Gross margin: 38.9% compared to 38.9% last year, vs. 38.1% estimate

Diluted earnings per share: $0.54 vs. $0.38 estimate

Story Continues

No post-holiday inventory bulge: Inventory levels rose 3.6% from the prior year.

Trend watch: The company’s same-store sales rose in all four quarters of 2024.

Flush with cash: The company’s total cash position surged 38% year over year to $2.6 billion.

Guidance:

2025

Net sales: +1% to +2% (consensus: +2%)

Operating income: +8% to +10% (consensus: +2%)

Tariffs: assumes ‘small’ margin impact from tariffs

Q1 2025

It has been a bad start to earnings season for America’s biggest retailers.

Profit warnings have mounted as cautious consumers pulled back on spending after the holidays. Bad weather across the country has delayed early spring buying for items like clothes and bikes. And execs have issued below-consensus 2025 outlooks as they plan for a barrage of costly Trump tariffs.

Walmart’s (WMT) outlook was poorly received by investors in mid-February. Rival Target (TGT) didn’t have much good to say either this week when it reported fourth quarter results and guidance.

Abercrombie & Fitch’s (ANF) outlook was shy of estimates; ditto Best Buy (BBY) and Macy’s (M).

Coresight Research founder and CEO Deborah Weinswig said on Yahoo Finance’s Morning Brief the retail backdrop remains «volatile.»

Brian Sozzi is Yahoo Finance’s Executive Editor. Follow Sozzi on X @BrianSozzi, Instagram, and LinkedIn. Tips on stories? Email [email protected].

Click here for all of the latest retail stock news and events to better inform your investing strategy



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